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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankfantasy7788HomeRunHazardplsgodsaveme
Record (consensus markets)56% (61–47, n=108)55% (24–20, n=44)52% (594–553, n=1147)33% (2–4, n=6)
Consensus PnL$770K$829K$398K-$1.5K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #20PM monthly #10was PM monthly #684
Sides with the consensus40% (6 of 15 open)100% (1 of 1 open)70% (72 of 103 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +48 pts n=37, ROI +45%
  • NFL +46 pts n=11, ROI +47%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 58 at avg 53¢, ROI +44%100% of 23 at avg 47¢, ROI +53%100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%80% of 5 at avg 40¢, ROI +21%
Entries under 30¢0%4% (won 100% of 1)2% (won 100% of 6)20% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢43% (won 100% of 25)61% (won 100% of 14)32% (won 100% of 100)60% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢52% (won 100% of 30)30% (won 100% of 7)60% (won 100% of 189)20% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 3)4% (won 100% of 1)7% (won 100% of 22)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankfantasy7788HomeRunHazardplsgodsaveme
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
Cowboys $1.4M—49ers $25K—
Spread: 49ers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $136K—49ers $10K—
Hornets vs. Clippers
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Clippers $37K—Hornets $6.1K—
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Clippers $1.1K—Hornets $482—
Lakers vs. Suns
same side · consensus Suns
Suns $4.4K—Suns $2.0K—
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Suns
Suns $234—Suns $4.1K—