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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | eleonorrigby | Flaznorp | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (73–54, n=127) | 59% (10–7, n=17) | 71% (3118–1302, n=4420) | 62% (16–10, n=26) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.5M | $34K | $661K | $663K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #922 | PM monthly #7 | was PM monthly #70 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (9 of 18 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 55% (110 of 201 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Soccer −1 pts, n=653 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 61 at avg 54¢, ROI +44% | 100% of 10 at avg 57¢, ROI +42% | 41% of 1384 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% | 94% of 16 at avg 49¢, ROI +44% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 10% (won 100% of 1) | 41% (won 5% of 566) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 41% (won 100% of 25) | 20% (won 100% of 2) | 24% (won 38% of 335) | 50% (won 100% of 8) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 100% of 33) | 40% (won 100% of 4) | 11% (won 62% of 157) | 38% (won 100% of 6) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 100% of 3) | 30% (won 100% of 3) | 24% (won 94% of 326) | 6% (won 100% of 1) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | eleonorrigby | Flaznorp | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49ers vs. Cowboys same side · consensus 49ers | Cowboys $1.2M | — | Cowboys $17 | Cowboys $66K |
| Hornets vs. Clippers opposite sides · consensus Clippers | Clippers $21K | — | Hornets $6.1K | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns opposite sides · consensus Lakers | Suns $389 | — | Lakers $4.2K | — |
| Spread: Clippers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | Clippers $608 | — | Hornets $2.0K | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | Suns $45 | — | Lakers $1.2K | — |