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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankbtnaFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)45% (583–722, n=1305)66% (42–22, n=64)52% (6551–6119, n=12670)
Consensus PnL$7.3M$54K$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #563PM monthly #13
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)70% (7 of 10 open)69% (238 of 346 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=100, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=26, ROI −2%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%61% of 46 at avg 52¢, ROI +3%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)28% (won 31% of 13)29% (won 11% of 465)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 206)15% (won 57% of 7)16% (won 40% of 255)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 204)30% (won 64% of 14)16% (won 62% of 260)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)26% (won 92% of 12)39% (won 94% of 637)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankbtnaFlaznorp
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $18KNo $162
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $4.4KNo $333
Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $13KYes $191