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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Jesetrading | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (553–663, n=1216) | 74% (597–215, n=812) | 65% (885–467, n=1352) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $7.6K | $4.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #888 | PM monthly #21 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (20 of 37 open) | 55% (11 of 20 open) | 82% (28 of 34 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 72% of 407 at avg 67¢, ROI +3% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 22% (won 16% of 90) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 8% (won 42% of 33) | 20% (won 40% of 253) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 6% (won 85% of 26) | 24% (won 57% of 310) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 63% (won 94% of 258) | 43% (won 93% of 544) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Jesetrading | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | No $418K | Yes $10K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $17K | Yes $3.5K | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $278K | Yes $253 | — |