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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Jesetrading | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 74% (623–217, n=840) | 65% (902–484, n=1386) | 47% (13886–15398, n=29284) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $8.3K | $4.8M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #906 | PM monthly #101 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (23 of 34 open) | 63% (57 of 90 open) | 71% (107 of 151 open) | 54% (14 of 26 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 74% of 441 at avg 68¢, ROI +5% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 21% (won 15% of 92) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 8% (won 44% of 34) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 7% (won 87% of 31) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 64% (won 95% of 284) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Jesetrading | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $88K | Yes $9.4K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $249 | No $2 | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | — | No $335K | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $278K | — | Yes $11K | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $78K | Yes $275 | — | — |