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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Jesetrading | ndb1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 74% (617–213, n=830) | 65% (889–469, n=1358) | 50% (19558–19625, n=39183) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $9.3K | $4.2M | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #914 | PM monthly #139 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (15 of 25 open) | 55% (11 of 20 open) | 73% (33 of 45 open) | 68% (80 of 118 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 74% of 441 at avg 68¢, ROI +5% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 21% (won 15% of 92) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 8% (won 44% of 34) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 7% (won 87% of 31) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 64% (won 95% of 284) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Jesetrading | ndb1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | No $258K | Yes $10K | — | — |