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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Jesetrading | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (553–663, n=1216) | 74% (597–215, n=812) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 65% (885–467, n=1352) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $7.6K | $5.6M | $4.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #871 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #21 |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (18 of 32 open) | 55% (11 of 20 open) | no open consensus position | 80% (28 of 35 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 72% of 407 at avg 67¢, ROI +3% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 22% (won 16% of 90) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 8% (won 42% of 33) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 6% (won 85% of 26) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 63% (won 94% of 258) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Jesetrading | joseph00677 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | No $418K | Yes $10K | — | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $17K | Yes $3.5K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $278K | Yes $253 | — | — |