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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | Jesetrading | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) | 74% (617–213, n=830) | 65% (889–469, n=1358) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $3.3M | $9.3K | $4.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #16 | PM monthly #914 | PM monthly #139 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (15 of 25 open) | 68% (195 of 287 open) | 55% (11 of 20 open) | 73% (33 of 45 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 74% of 441 at avg 68¢, ROI +5% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 21% (won 15% of 92) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 8% (won 44% of 34) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 7% (won 87% of 31) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 64% (won 95% of 284) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | Jesetrading | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | No $258K | — | Yes $10K | — |
| 76ers vs. Pistons same side · consensus Pistons | Pistons $204K | Pistons $2.8K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-11.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $8.7K | Celtics $215 | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | Pistons $954 | Pistons $1.3K | — | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) same side · consensus Pelicans | Jazz $277 | Jazz $4 | — | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-3.5) same side · consensus Hawks | Hawks $66 | Hawks $193 | — | — |