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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpxxNyx
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)86% (1766–293, n=2059)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$4.1M$87K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #10Hand-picked
Sides with the consensus89% (31 of 35 open)66% (99 of 151 open)92% (59 of 64 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15Tech −1 pts, n=56
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%81% of 1891 at avg 79¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 9% of 251)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)5% (won 52% of 91)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)6% (won 57% of 109)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)76% (won 97% of 1440)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpxxNyx
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $39K—Yes $2.0K
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $146Yes $3.8K