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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpS-WorksxxNyx
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)75% (2546–856, n=3402)86% (1766–293, n=2059)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$4.1M$3.7M$87K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #10PM monthly #73Hand-picked
Sides with the consensus89% (31 of 35 open)66% (100 of 152 open)67% (2 of 3 open)92% (59 of 64 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15Crypto −1 pts, n=46Tech −1 pts, n=56
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%81% of 1891 at avg 79¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)6% (won 14% of 145)13% (won 9% of 251)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)16% (won 48% of 367)5% (won 52% of 91)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 60% of 509)6% (won 57% of 109)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)55% (won 96% of 1235)76% (won 97% of 1440)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpS-WorksxxNyx
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $39K——Yes $2.0K
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $146—Yes $3.8K