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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | primm | TheMathGod | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 52% (6475–6058, n=12533) | 50% (1116–1127, n=2243) | 63% (114–68, n=182) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $3.7M | $3.6M | -$42K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #969 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (28 of 37 open) | 71% (259 of 364 open) | 69% (20 of 29 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | MLB −11 pts, n=64 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 63% of 179 at avg 64¢, ROI −4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 2% (won 33% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 41% (won 99% of 418) | 8% (won 47% of 15) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 49% (won 99% of 504) | 59% (won 53% of 105) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 31% (won 86% of 56) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | primm | TheMathGod |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Grizzlies opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $148K | Thunder $14K | — | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Timberwolves $367 | Pelicans $1.7K | — | — |
| Spread: Raptors (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Raptors $450 | Bucks $539 | — | — |
| South Florida vs. East Carolina opposite sides · consensus South Florida | — | East Carolina $81 | South Florida $39 | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) same side · consensus Thunder | Grizzlies $14K | Grizzlies $760 | — | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-5.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | Jazz $422 | Jazz $190 | — | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5) same side · consensus Pelicans | Timberwolves $167 | Timberwolves $403 | — | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-4.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $50 | Grizzlies $350 | — | — |
| Spread: Raptors (-4.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Raptors $122 | Raptors $154 | — | — |