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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpjuliuscheesar
Record (consensus markets)58% (73–52, n=125)70% (3052–1278, n=4330)86% (18–3, n=21)
Consensus PnL$2.5M$539K$16K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #7PM monthly #970
Sides with the consensus40% (6 of 15 open)55% (94 of 171 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +48 pts n=37, ROI +45%
  • NFL +45 pts n=14, ROI +46%
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=653—
Settled positions, side won100% of 61 at avg 54¢, ROI +44%41% of 1384 at avg 42¢, ROI −2%100% of 27 at avg 78¢, ROI −9%
Entries under 30¢0%41% (won 5% of 566)4% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢41% (won 100% of 25)24% (won 38% of 335)4% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 100% of 33)11% (won 62% of 157)22% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 3)24% (won 94% of 326)70% (won 100% of 19)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpjuliuscheesar
Hornets vs. Clippers
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Clippers $39KHornets $2.8K—
49ers vs. Cowboys
same side · consensus 49ers
Cowboys $1.6MCowboys $11—
Lakers vs. Suns
same side · consensus Lakers
Suns $2.7KSuns $49—
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Suns
Suns $93Suns $69—
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
same side · consensus Team Spirit
—Team Spirit $3Team Spirit $52