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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpSagand
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–667, n=1227)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)85% (44–8, n=52)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$3.3M$27K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #22PM monthly #882
Sides with the consensus62% (18 of 29 open)64% (174 of 274 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%83% of 53 at avg 68¢, ROI +15%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 43% of 7)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)8% (won 75% of 4)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)21% (won 91% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)58% (won 90% of 31)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpSagand
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $310KPacers $538—
Jazz vs. Pelicans
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Jazz $70KPelicans $36—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Grizzlies $172Pacers $215—
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $31KJazz $4—
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $8.7KCeltics $215—
Hawks vs. Wizards
same side · consensus Hawks
Hawks $2.7KHawks $3.6K—
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $954Pistons $1.0K—
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
Hawks $66Hawks $374—