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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1wesolyjasiu
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6473–6009, n=12482)48% (14112–15590, n=29702)99% (1931–14, n=1945)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.6M$14.8M$9.5K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #23PM monthly #28 + pinnedPM monthly #663
Sides with the consensus81% (25 of 31 open)74% (103 of 139 open)50% (22 of 44 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 1487 at avg 99¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)0% (won 0% of 4)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)0% (won 40% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)0% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)99% (won 100% of 1477)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1wesolyjasiu
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4KYes $1.9K—
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $5.3KYes $23—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586Over $3.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $3.0KNo $9—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.8KYes $41—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466No $529—
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $886Under $81—
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $552Over $358—
Rubio Nu vs. Sportivo Luqueno: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $451Over $230—
Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 1 - 0 Clube do Remo?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $318No $359—
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $440Warriors $109—
Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 2 - 2 Clube do Remo?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $40No $182—
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Belgrano: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $141Over $69—
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $104Over $18—
Clube do Remo leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $25Yes $2—
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)
same side · consensus SE Palmeiras
—SE Palmeiras $29KSE Palmeiras $14K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $581Over $826—
Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.3KNo $63—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20—
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $538Under $35—
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $8Under $323—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $138Yes $192—
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Warriors $174Warriors $97—
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $35Under $225—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176Under $42—
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $12Under $156—
Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 3 - 2 Clube do Remo?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $8Yes $77—
SE Palmeiras leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $56No $12—