Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1wesolyjasiu
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6520–6024, n=12544)47% (14133–15621, n=29754)99% (1932–14, n=1946)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.5M$14.8M$9.5K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #23PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #646
Sides with the consensus86% (24 of 28 open)70% (265 of 380 open)58% (66 of 113 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 1487 at avg 99¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2538)0% (won 0% of 4)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5565)0% (won 40% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)36% (won 99% of 9017)0% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8250)99% (won 100% of 1477)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

55 on the same side, 26 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1wesolyjasiu
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.5K—
Will Inter Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $8.4KYes $22—
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $7.2KYes $604—
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $5.8KOver $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4KYes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586Over $3.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.1KOver $2—
W35 Orlando, FL: Lavinia Tanasie vs Whitney Osuigwe
opposite sides · consensus Whitney Osuigwe
—Whitney Osuigwe $2.1KLavinia Tanasie $5—
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.0KUnder $10—
Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua
opposite sides · consensus Renata Zarazua
—Julia Riera $1.5KRenata Zarazua $482—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466No $529—
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Greet Minnen
opposite sides · consensus Greet Minnen
—Greet Minnen $686Lisa Pigato $48—
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $316Yes $125—
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $239Under $103—
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov
—Julio Cesar Porras $23Ivan Gakhov $225—
Spread: FK Crvena zvezda (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Inter Club d'Escaldes
—Inter Club d'Escaldes $180FK Crvena zvezda $65—
W50 Huamantla: Sofia Johnson vs Jessica Hinojosa Gomez
opposite sides · consensus Sofia Johnson
—Jessica Hinojosa Gomez $31Sofia Johnson $213—
W50 Huamantla: Jo-Yee Chan vs Cadence Brace
opposite sides · consensus Cadence Brace
—Cadence Brace $60Jo-Yee Chan $36—
Exact Score: AC Milan 2 - 0 Ferencvárosi TC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $43Yes $3—
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $28Over $13—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7Over $29—
Exact Score: Lillestrøm SK 0 - 0 FC Viktoria Plzeň?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $13Yes $4—
Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 0 - 0 AFC Bournemouth?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $10Yes $4—
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $29KUnder $2.0K—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $16KYes $11K—
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $20KNo $1.5K—
AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $17KUnder $4.2K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $7.5KUnder $8.9K—
Will FC Thun win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.9KYes $10K—
Spread: NEC (-1.5)
same side · consensus AS Omónoia Leukosías
—AS Omónoia Leukosías $10KAS Omónoia Leukosías $3—
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $9.6KUnder $128—
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $8.4KOver $180—
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)
same side · consensus Ferencvárosi TC
—Ferencvárosi TC $5.8KFerencvárosi TC $1.9K—
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5.0KUnder $2.4K—
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.6KOver $3.0K—
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $6.1KUnder $24—
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.8KNo $283—
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5.7KUnder $15—
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5.1KUnder $198—
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Brute (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs
same side · consensus GenOne
—GenOne $2GenOne $5.0K—
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6KNo $2.2K—
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.2KNo $68—
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.8KNo $1.2K—
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $555Under $2.4K—
Villa Maria: Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Murkel Dellien
same side · consensus Juan Pablo Ficovich
—Juan Pablo Ficovich $2.8KJuan Pablo Ficovich $37—
Will AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.4KYes $78—