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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpHAN88888RN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6473–6009, n=12482)100% (13–0, n=13)48% (14112–15590, n=29702)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.6M$50K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #19PM monthly #601PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus81% (25 of 31 open)74% (101 of 137 open)no open consensus position52% (26 of 50 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 12 at avg 91¢, ROI +8%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)0%10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)0%22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)0%35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)100% (won 100% of 12)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

20 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpHAN88888RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $5.4K—Yes $4
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.3K—Yes $11
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $3.0K—No $9
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.5K—No $104
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466—No $529
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $886—Under $81
Rubio Nu vs. Sportivo Luqueno: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $451—Over $230
Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 1 - 0 Clube do Remo?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $318—No $359
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $67—Warriors $505
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $440—Warriors $109
Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 2 - 2 Clube do Remo?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $40—No $182
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Belgrano: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $141—Over $69
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $104—Over $18
Clube do Remo leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $25—Yes $2
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)
same side · consensus SE Palmeiras
—SE Palmeiras $28K—SE Palmeiras $14K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Cali: Leolia Jeanjean vs Alice Tubello
same side · consensus Alice Tubello
—Alice Tubello $3.2K—Alice Tubello $11K
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)
same side · consensus SE Palmeiras
—SE Palmeiras $2.4K—SE Palmeiras $665
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.0K—Over $826
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.3K—Over $411
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
CS Cartaginés leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $338—No $353
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $538—Under $35
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Belgrano: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $128—Under $271
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $8—Under $323
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $138—Yes $192
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Warriors $174—Warriors $97
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $34—Under $225
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176—Under $42
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $4—Under $156
SE Palmeiras leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $126—No $12
Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 3 - 2 Clube do Remo?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $63—Yes $16