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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankDanny8273fantasy7788Flaznorp
Record (consensus markets)56% (61–47, n=108)81% (21–5, n=26)55% (23–19, n=42)71% (2970–1233, n=4203)
Consensus PnL$770K$6.4K$881K$533K
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #921PM monthly #18PM monthly #9
Sides with the consensus53% (16 of 30 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position47% (109 of 234 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +48 pts n=37, ROI +45%
  • NFL +46 pts n=11, ROI +47%
Weakest topic———Soccer −1 pts, n=612
Settled positions, side won100% of 58 at avg 53¢, ROI +44%88% of 25 at avg 72¢, ROI +11%100% of 23 at avg 47¢, ROI +53%41% of 1333 at avg 43¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢0%0%4% (won 100% of 1)41% (won 6% of 540)
Entries 30–50¢43% (won 100% of 25)0%61% (won 100% of 14)24% (won 38% of 322)
Entries 50–70¢52% (won 100% of 30)36% (won 78% of 9)30% (won 100% of 7)11% (won 62% of 152)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 3)64% (won 94% of 16)4% (won 100% of 1)24% (won 94% of 319)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankDanny8273fantasy7788Flaznorp
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $874K——Falcons $87
Pacers vs. 76ers
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Pacers $84K——76ers $5.8K
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
Vikings $1.1M——Vikings $397
49ers vs. Cowboys
same side · consensus 49ers
Cowboys $77K——Cowboys $15
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $75K——Colts $53
CD Comerciantes Unidos leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $27K—Yes $3.8K