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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTSferrariChampions2026Flaznorp
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (6563–6152, n=12715)43% (11687–15248, n=26935)55% (13164–10557, n=23721)
Consensus PnL$8.4M$1.2M-$9.5M$1.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #71was PM monthly #87PM monthly #14
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)76% (86 of 113 open)64% (7 of 11 open)72% (89 of 124 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—MLB −1 pts, n=747—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%54% of 10582 at avg 51¢, ROI +4%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 18% of 1390)4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)36% (won 46% of 3763)26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)35% (won 61% of 3662)40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)17% (won 86% of 1767)30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTSferrariChampions2026Flaznorp
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $306KNo $256——
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $27KNo $4.7K——
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $15KYes $5.0K——
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $28No $11K——
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $6.0KNo $4.9K——
Brisbane 3: Alafia Ayeni vs Edward Winter
opposite sides · consensus Edward Winter
——Alafia Ayeni $70Edward Winter $3.0K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $148Yes $2.7K
Matsuyama: Joel Schwaerzler vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
opposite sides · consensus Joel Schwaerzler
——Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong $12Joel Schwaerzler $2.3K
Matsuyama: Keegan Smith vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu
opposite sides · consensus Yu-Hsiou Hsu
——Yu-Hsiou Hsu $299Keegan Smith $185
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $425KNo $14K——
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $24KYes $3.2K——
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $19KYes $1.0K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KUnder $13K
USC Trojans vs. Wichita State Shockers
same side · consensus USC Trojans
——USC Trojans $1.1KUSC Trojans $4.1K
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3.4KYes $494——
Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda
same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh
——Keisuke Saitoh $38Keisuke Saitoh $1.6K
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $490Yes $845——
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $982Yes $75——
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $42Yes $839——
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $25Yes $427——
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $99Yes $34——