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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| Aurelius7 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (235–175, n=410) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 47% (14377–16003, n=30380) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.2K | $11.0M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #950 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #23 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 39% (11 of 28 open) | 51% (58 of 113 open) | 56% (45 of 80 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | Culture −2 pts, n=23 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 67% of 388 at avg 49¢, ROI +10% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 16% (won 16% of 64) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 61% (won 84% of 237) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 6% (won 96% of 25) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.