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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00Aurelius7BreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market56% (238–188, n=426)46% (560–667, n=1227)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL—-$2.9K$9.4M$14.8M
Tracked as—was PM monthly #950PM monthly #2PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position33% (3 of 9 open)60% (15 of 25 open)62% (177 of 284 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—Culture −2 pts, n=23——
Settled positions, side won—67% of 386 at avg 49¢, ROI +10%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—17% (won 16% of 64)11% (won 80% of 61)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 41% of 61)35% (won 98% of 203)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—61% (won 84% of 236)35% (won 100% of 201)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—6% (won 96% of 25)20% (won 100% of 115)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00Aurelius7BreakTheBankRN1
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $64KYes $29K
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $56KNo $148
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.2KYes $111
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
——No $651KNo $6.5K