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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Aurelius7 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (238–186, n=424) | 46% (560–666, n=1226) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 47% (13363–14875, n=28238) |
| Consensus PnL | -$2.9K | $11.2M | $5.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #950 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #25 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 33% (3 of 9 open) | 48% (10 of 21 open) | no open consensus position | 66% (103 of 157 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Culture −2 pts, n=23 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 67% of 386 at avg 49¢, ROI +10% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 16% of 64) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 41% of 61) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 61% (won 84% of 236) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 6% (won 96% of 25) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Aurelius7 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $114 | No $5.6K | — | — |