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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Aurelius7 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (238–186, n=424) | 46% (560–666, n=1226) | 47% (13363–14875, n=28238) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$2.9K | $11.2M | $14.8M | — |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #950 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | — |
| Sides with the consensus | 33% (3 of 9 open) | 55% (12 of 22 open) | 67% (159 of 237 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | Culture −2 pts, n=23 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 67% of 386 at avg 49¢, ROI +10% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 16% of 64) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 41% of 61) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 61% (won 84% of 236) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 6% (won 96% of 25) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Aurelius7 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $63K | Yes $20K | — |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.2K | Yes $96 | — |