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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AmericaFirst1 | fantasy7788 | HomeRunHazard | juice-fruit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (33–25, n=58) | 56% (5–4, n=9) | 55% (216–179, n=395) | 100% (1–0, n=1) |
| Consensus PnL | -$12K | $421K | $290K | $152K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #750 | PM monthly #43 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #31 |
| Sides with the consensus | 51% (18 of 35 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 64% (108 of 168 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | none with 10+ settled |
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 5 at avg 50¢, ROI +54% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 1 at avg 41¢, ROI +59% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 100% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 60% (won 100% of 3) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 0% | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AmericaFirst1 | fantasy7788 | HomeRunHazard | juice-fruit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Toledo (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Toledo | UMass $9 | — | Toledo $5.8K | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Toledo | Toledo $229 | — | UMass $3.8K | — |
| Spread: Buffalo (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ball State | Ball State $4 | — | Buffalo $3.8K | — |
| Sacramento State vs. Central Michigan: O/U 41.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $205 | — | Under $337 | — |
| Spread: Buffalo (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ball State | Ball State $13 | — | Buffalo $486 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Toledo | Toledo $237 | — | UMass $85 | — |
| Spread: Buffalo (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Buffalo | Ball State $23 | — | Buffalo $3 | — |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-16.5) same side · consensus Central Michigan | Sacramento State $126 | — | Sacramento State $2.8K | — |
| Buffalo vs. Ball State same side · consensus Buffalo | Ball State $454 | — | Ball State $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-17.5) same side · consensus Central Michigan | Sacramento State $19 | — | Sacramento State $1.5K | — |