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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Alegrandebigbeachboy4Flaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)93% (1486–115, n=1601)no settled market52% (6555–6124, n=12679)63% (993–578, n=1571)
Consensus PnL-$8.1K—$3.7M$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #841—PM monthly #13PM monthly #98
Sides with the consensus92% (34 of 37 open)no open consensus position72% (314 of 438 open)71% (59 of 83 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicFinance −2 pts, n=112—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won94% of 1369 at avg 94¢, ROI 0%—56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 12% of 33)—29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 46% of 41)—16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 62% of 50)—15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up91% (won 99% of 1245)—40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAlegrandebigbeachboy4Flaznorpndb1
Will Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $80—No $16K—
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $34KUnder $31K
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $5——No $42K
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $634——No $29K
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Arsenal FC
——Hull City AFC $5.2KHull City AFC $2.9K
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $578Under $6.4K
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $495——Yes $525