Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
1nvoker1joseph00677omnibus-076daaUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)61% (327–211, n=538)53% (10–9, n=19)50% (15092–15111, n=30203)50% (19558–19625, n=39183)
Consensus PnL$24K$5.6M$3.0M$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #938PM monthly #1PM monthly #47PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus67% (26 of 39 open)no open consensus position57% (120 of 210 open)66% (82 of 124 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicCrypto −10 pts, n=18———
Settled positions, side won48% of 543 at avg 45¢, ROI −1%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢43% (won 6% of 236)12% (won 0% of 2)8% (won 60% of 874)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 37% of 54)6% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 87% of 2384)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 73% of 62)65% (won 73% of 11)38% (won 95% of 4296)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up35% (won 94% of 191)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 99% of 3716)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market1nvoker1joseph00677omnibus-076daaUpTheBlues
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $10No $1.2K
Will KV Kortrijk win on 2026-10-23?
same side · consensus No
——No $147No $26K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KUnder $21K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $31Yes $3.1K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5—Yes $2.2K—
UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $213No $42
Bratislava 2: Lukas Pokorny vs Toby Samuel
same side · consensus Toby Samuel
——Lukas Pokorny $100Lukas Pokorny $4
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $38Yes $3