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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 121212121212121212121212 | BreakTheBank | primm | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 85% (11–2, n=13) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 50% (1248–1260, n=2508) | 75% (2542–853, n=3395) |
| Consensus PnL | $26K | $7.7M | $3.6M | $3.7M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #821 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #48 | PM monthly #73 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 83% (40 of 48 open) | 58% (7 of 12 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 86% of 7 at avg 48¢, ROI +37% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 50% of 2) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 14% (won 100% of 1) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 57% (won 100% of 4) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 121212121212121212121212 | BreakTheBank | primm | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texans vs. Chargers opposite sides · consensus Chargers | — | Chargers $294K | Texans $1.4K | — |
| Cardinals vs. Seahawks opposite sides · consensus Seahawks | — | Seahawks $124K | Cardinals $5.7K | — |
| Spread: Texans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Chargers | — | Chargers $100K | Texans $3 | — |
| Raiders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $15K | Under $47 | — |
| Packers vs. Patriots same side · consensus Packers | — | Packers $104K | Packers $70K | — |