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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026lopezmartinndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)44% (11392–14477, n=25869)63% (12–7, n=19)63% (1095–632, n=1727)50% (1248–1260, n=2508)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M$46K$4.6M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #571PM monthly #111PM monthly #47
Sides with the consensus63% (31 of 49 open)no open consensus position71% (70 of 98 open)55% (6 of 11 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic——NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%61% of 18 at avg 49¢, ROI +39%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)22% (won 25% of 4)13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)22% (won 50% of 4)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)33% (won 67% of 6)23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)22% (won 100% of 4)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026lopezmartinndb1primm
Packers vs. Patriots
opposite sides · consensus Packers
Patriots $13K——Packers $70K
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Seahawks $2.8K——Cardinals $6.1K
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $31——Texans $2.0K
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $1.5K——Cardinals $247
Spread: Seahawks (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Seahawks $137——Cardinals $1.6K
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
same side · consensus Chargers
Texans $41K——Texans $9.4K
Raiders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $7.9K——Under $1.5K