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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026joseph00677Malfunction.primm
Record (consensus markets)44% (11392–14477, n=25869)43% (10–13, n=23)98% (13975–346, n=14321)50% (1248–1260, n=2508)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M$3.3M$649K$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #8PM monthly #260PM monthly #48
Sides with the consensus66% (35 of 53 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position50% (5 of 10 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic——Geopolitics −6 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%96% of 11593 at avg 96¢, ROI 0%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)12% (won 0% of 2)2% (won 18% of 234)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)6% (won 0% of 1)2% (won 48% of 221)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)65% (won 73% of 11)2% (won 56% of 177)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)18% (won 67% of 3)95% (won 99% of 10961)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026joseph00677Malfunction.primm
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $32K——Colts $5.7K
Spread: Saints (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
Browns $3.8K——Saints $16
Spread: Seahawks (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Seahawks $89——Cardinals $1.3K
Spread: Cowboys (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $471——Colts $76
Raiders vs. 49ers
same side · consensus 49ers
49ers $29K——49ers $63K