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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xf73f7E9C6bd1f40dC045d2a93BeC3Dd4248AEE5Flaznorpndb1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)38% (2995–4989, n=7984)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)63% (1096–631, n=1727)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$19K$4.1M$4.6M$3.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #974PM monthly #16PM monthly #108PM monthly #60
Sides with the consensus33% (1 of 3 open)74% (82 of 111 open)74% (73 of 99 open)63% (5 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicGeopolitics −8 pts, n=31Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won73% of 1460 at avg 44¢, ROI +10%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 43% of 584)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 84% of 242)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢19% (won 93% of 281)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 96% of 353)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xf73f7E9C6bd1f40dC045d2a93BeC3Dd4248AEE5Flaznorpndb1S-Works
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
—Bilibili Gaming $273—Bilibili Gaming $386K
Pelicans vs. Clippers
same side · consensus Pelicans
—Pelicans $7.3K—Pelicans $52K