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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592 | Forecastication2 | HomeRunHazard | robustmst | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (60–40, n=100) | 47% (68–76, n=144) | 54% (268–231, n=499) | 42% (13–18, n=31) |
| Consensus PnL | $171K | -$28K | $278K | $208K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #60 | was PM monthly #893 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #28 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 58% (14 of 24 open) | 69% (50 of 72 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 59 at avg 61¢, ROI +41% | — | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 13 at avg 45¢, ROI +50% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 100% of 2) | — | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 100% of 6) | — | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 85% (won 100% of 11) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 63% (won 100% of 37) | — | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 15% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 100% of 14) | — | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592 | Forecastication2 | HomeRunHazard | robustmst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USC Trojans vs. California Golden Bears opposite sides · consensus USC Trojans | — | California Golden Bears $7 | USC Trojans $6.4K | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Trail Blazers $7 | Thunder $4.3K | — |
| USC Trojans vs. California Golden Bears: O/U 161.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $7 | Under $1.6K | — |
| USC Trojans vs. California Golden Bears: O/U 160.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $350 | Under $928 | — |
| Pistons vs. Wizards opposite sides · consensus Pistons | — | Wizards $1 | Pistons $1.1K | — |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $243 | Under $2 | — |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $7 | Over $9.3K | — |
| Spread: Furman Paladins (-12.5) same side · consensus Holy Cross Crusaders | — | Furman Paladins $2 | Furman Paladins $452 | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-10.5) same side · consensus 76ers | — | Raptors $3 | Raptors $343 | — |