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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x94d6530C8d6CF9A89c7F2E6a9CF4f2Cb50dF121Flaznorpndb1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)89% (109–14, n=123)55% (13164–10557, n=23721)64% (1101–632, n=1733)75% (2553–858, n=3411)
Consensus PnL$104K$1.9M$4.6M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #313PM monthly #14PM monthly #109PM monthly #65
Sides with the consensus57% (4 of 7 open)72% (89 of 123 open)73% (75 of 103 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won83% of 102 at avg 73¢, ROI +10%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢21% (won 33% of 21)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 75% of 4)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢6% (won 100% of 6)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up70% (won 97% of 71)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x94d6530C8d6CF9A89c7F2E6a9CF4f2Cb50dF121Flaznorpndb1S-Works
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $21KNo $1.1K——
Wycombe Wanderers FC vs. Huddersfield Town AFC: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $19KNo $3——
Exact Score: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.0KNo $46——
Exact Score: Al Ahli Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Taawoun Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $4.0KNo $57——
Spread: Woking FC (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Forest Green Rovers FC
Woking FC $119Forest Green Rovers FC $2.1K——