PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
LinaBell🦊BreakTheBankRN1omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)12% (239–1747, n=1986)45% (514–627, n=1141)48% (12136–12968, n=25104)50% (13646–13770, n=27416)
Consensus PnL$51K$10.4M$13.4M$3.5M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #1PM monthly #15 + pinnedPM monthly #21
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)70% (28 of 40 open)42% (8 of 19 open)77% (10 of 13 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topicPolitics −4 pts, n=11———
Settled positions, side won15% of 2370 at avg 14¢, ROI +2%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢87% (won 2% of 2059)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2478)8% (won 59% of 860)
Entries 30–50¢1% (won 95% of 22)35% (won 98% of 181)22% (won 94% of 5361)21% (won 86% of 2252)
Entries 50–70¢1% (won 100% of 25)34% (won 99% of 176)36% (won 99% of 8705)39% (won 94% of 4102)
Entries 70¢ and up11% (won 99% of 264)20% (won 100% of 105)31% (won 100% of 7425)32% (won 99% of 3425)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketLinaBell🦊BreakTheBankRN1omnibus-076daa
Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Daniil Ostapenkov
opposite sides · consensus Liam Draxl
——Daniil Ostapenkov $5Liam Draxl $45
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $268K—Yes $2.6K
Swiss Indoors Basel: Ben Shelton vs Jerome Kym
same side · consensus Jerome Kym
——Jerome Kym $28KJerome Kym $789
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $6.4KNo $365
Queretaro: Polona Hercog vs Valeriya Strakhova
same side · consensus Valeriya Strakhova
——Polona Hercog $2.4KPolona Hercog $21
W100 New Braunfels, TX: Madison Brengle vs Yuki Naito
same side · consensus Yuki Naito
——Yuki Naito $439Yuki Naito $14
W100 New Braunfels, TX: Sloane Stephens vs Astra Sharma
same side · consensus Sloane Stephens
——Sloane Stephens $17Sloane Stephens $238