Consensus PnL $51K · win rate 12% (239–1747, n=1986) · hand-picked wallet · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$51.1K
Record
239W / 1747L
Win Rate
12.0%
of 1986 settled
Batting Avg
36.3%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#2234
Source
Hand-picked
Trades
66,966
Markets
3,011
Volume
$7.6M
Specialties
2,370 settled consensus markets · held side won 15% at an average entry of 14¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where LinaBell🦊's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Weakest: Politics — held side won 91% of 11 at an average 95¢ entry (−4 pts against the price), ROI 0%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 87%(won 2% of 2059)
- 30–50¢: 1%(won 95% of 22)
- 50–70¢: 1%(won 100% of 25)
- 70¢ and up: 11%(won 99% of 264)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.