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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8dszc153187wmy123456789BreakTheBankFlaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (571–700, n=1271)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)50% (1082–1097, n=2179)
Consensus PnL—$9.4M$3.3M$3.6M
Tracked as—PM monthly #1PM monthly #22PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position59% (17 of 29 open)68% (279 of 408 open)66% (25 of 38 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x8dszc153187wmy123456789BreakTheBankFlaznorpprimm
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $218KPacers $3.4K—
76ers vs. Pistons
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $90K76ers $6.2K—
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $19KPelicans $805—
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $14KBucks $2.2K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Grizzlies $357Pacers $308—
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $880Celtics $1.3K—
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $442Pistons $1.5K—
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $323Jazz $285—
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
same side · consensus Central Michigan
——Eastern Michigan $60Eastern Michigan $417