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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8260615ef0604c26712870c4A803936fea38A14b-1775226049986Flaznorpndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)40% (14–21, n=35)52% (6615–6145, n=12760)63% (993–576, n=1569)48% (14232–15729, n=29961)
Consensus PnL$59K$3.6M$4.8M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #944PM monthly #10PM monthly #92PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)79% (96 of 122 open)68% (52 of 77 open)44% (11 of 25 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won81% of 16 at avg 50¢, ROI +69%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢25% (won 50% of 4)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 100% of 2)16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢31% (won 80% of 5)16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 100% of 5)39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x8260615ef0604c26712870c4A803936fea38A14b-1775226049986Flaznorpndb1RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Will Dewa United win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.2K—No $104
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466—No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
—Diletta Cherubini $281—Ipek Oz $679
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
W50 Heraklion: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Nuria Brancaccio
same side · consensus Nuria Brancaccio
—Nuria Brancaccio $18—Nuria Brancaccio $619
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139—Yes $192
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176—Under $42
M25 Valencia: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Enrique Carrascosa Diaz
same side · consensus Svyatoslav Gulin
—Svyatoslav Gulin $88—Svyatoslav Gulin $9