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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x7b47a31C97E22de4d7af4A07365545cbC5aEd615-1761165835789BreakTheBankFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)51% (632–607, n=1239)45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (6491–6080, n=12571)
Consensus PnL-$358K$7.3M$3.7M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #477PM monthly #3PM monthly #13
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position77% (27 of 35 open)68% (245 of 358 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=100, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −4 pts, n=156—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won52% of 1111 at avg 51¢, ROI −3%97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 19% of 31)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)
Entries 30–50¢44% (won 47% of 491)35% (won 98% of 206)16% (won 40% of 255)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 55% of 511)35% (won 100% of 204)16% (won 62% of 260)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 74% of 78)20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x7b47a31C97E22de4d7af4A07365545cbC5aEd615-1761165835789BreakTheBankFlaznorp
Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Jazz $396Mavericks $15
Raptors vs. Bucks
same side · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $523KRaptors $4.5K
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
same side · consensus Thunder
—Grizzlies $14KGrizzlies $676
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $50Grizzlies $1.1K
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
—Raptors $214Raptors $62
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
—Timberwolves $199Timberwolves $74