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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x776f7fb93be970D678068E00674B54af0FF10478-1771711639781Flaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)16% (6–31, n=37)52% (6569–6087, n=12656)45% (10–12, n=22)47% (14161–15670, n=29831)
Consensus PnL$114K$3.6M$5.3M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #951PM monthly #10PM monthly #3PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)72% (100 of 138 open)no open consensus position55% (44 of 80 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won37% of 19 at avg 24¢, ROI +32%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢74% (won 14% of 14)29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 100% of 2)16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 100% of 2)16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 1)39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x776f7fb93be970D678068E00674B54af0FF10478-1771711639781Flaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586—Over $3.3K
Spread: Suns (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Suns $3.1K—Magic $604
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Spread: Suns (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
—Magic $1.1K—Suns $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $1.3K—Warriors $510
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466—No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
—Diletta Cherubini $281—Ipek Oz $698
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $411—Under $245
Spread: Magic (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Magic $167—Suns $236
W35 Hamamatsu: Kanon Sawashiro vs Mio Mushika
opposite sides · consensus Kanon Sawashiro
—Mio Mushika $2—Kanon Sawashiro $48
Jaguars vs. Ravens
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $305—Jaguars $21K
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
—Florida Atlantic $157—Florida Atlantic $20K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Omar Jasika
same side · consensus Yuta Shimizu
—Yuta Shimizu $3.5K—Yuta Shimizu $342
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
W100 Incheon: Katie Swan vs Xinxin Yao
same side · consensus Katie Swan
—Katie Swan $484—Katie Swan $785
Ducks vs. Oilers
same side · consensus Oilers
—Oilers $402—Oilers $686
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $492—Under $338
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $468—Heat $110
James Madison vs. Southern Miss
same side · consensus James Madison
—Southern Miss $41—Southern Miss $365
Spread: Suns (-3.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $296—Magic $40
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139—Yes $192
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Warriors $135—Warriors $87
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176—Under $42
W100 Incheon: Han Shi vs Berfu Cengiz
same side · consensus Han Shi
—Han Shi $11—Han Shi $185
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Ducks
—Ducks $10—Ducks $69
Spread: Oilers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Ducks
—Oilers $21—Oilers $13