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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x6BE68b475d7B0f0382912C59A669B6C3E29339A0-1779887477443fantasy7788HomeRunHazardVirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)no settled market55% (22–18, n=40)52% (590–548, n=1138)88% (15–2, n=17)
Consensus PnL$0$883K$400K$475K
Tracked asPM monthly #995PM monthly #18PM monthly #9PM monthly #57
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position70% (63 of 90 open)56% (5 of 9 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +51 pts n=15, ROI +40%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 22 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 100% of 1)2% (won 100% of 6)13% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢—59% (won 100% of 13)32% (won 100% of 100)40% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢—32% (won 100% of 7)60% (won 100% of 189)33% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 1)7% (won 100% of 22)13% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x6BE68b475d7B0f0382912C59A669B6C3E29339A0-1779887477443fantasy7788HomeRunHazardVirIntrepidus
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Patriots $6.1KLions $38K
Patriots vs. Lions
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Patriots $8.1KLions $19K
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
——49ers $8.3KCowboys $283
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Titans
——Jaguars $1.1KTitans $7.4K
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Packers
——Vikings $7.9KVikings $8.3K
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
——Vikings $6.7KVikings $6.2K
Spread: Lions (-3.5)
same side · consensus Lions
——Lions $32Lions $3.6K