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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241cay520FlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market54% (66–57, n=123)52% (6524–6030, n=12554)48% (14139–15621, n=29760)
Consensus PnL—-$367$3.5M$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #664PM monthly #23PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)75% (309 of 412 open)64% (124 of 194 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +47 pts n=21, ROI +48%
  • Esports +24 pts n=37, ROI +22%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—95% of 59 at avg 62¢, ROI +46%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—2% (won 100% of 1)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢—15% (won 100% of 9)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢—54% (won 94% of 32)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up—29% (won 94% of 17)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

88 on the same side, 61 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241cay520FlaznorpRN1
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $11KOver $7.7K
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $6.7KOver $10K
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $13KNo $3.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.5K
Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $13KYes $1.7K
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $8.8KNo $4.8K
Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus AC Milan
——AC Milan $10KFerencvárosi TC $622
Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $8.7KYes $712
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $8.5KOver $722
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $2.7KOver $4.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.4KYes $1.9K
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $4.8KUnder $765
Will FK Borac Banja Luka win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.5KYes $15
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $4.0KUnder $532
Will Mjällby AIF win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $3.4KNo $890
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
——Daniel Milavsky $392Max Hans Rehberg $3.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $586Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $2.6KYes $153
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.7KOver $82
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $560Over $2.0K
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.5KOver $12
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.4KUnder $37
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.1KUnder $19
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $65Over $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $476Under $1.3K
Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 1 - 2 AFC Bournemouth?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.4KYes $239
Exact Score: AC Milan 1 - 2 Ferencvárosi TC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $518No $1.1K
Will PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.3KNo $262
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $629Over $760
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $458Over $675
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $907Under $215
Will FC Thun vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $995Yes $13
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $466No $529
Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 2 - 2 AFC Bournemouth?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $796Yes $163
AC Milan leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $929Yes $8
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $6Over $912
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $880Over $5
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $867Over $2
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Greet Minnen
opposite sides · consensus Greet Minnen
——Greet Minnen $686Lisa Pigato $43
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $560Yes $137
W50 Huamantla: Anastasia Tikhonova vs Valeriya Strakhova
opposite sides · consensus Valeriya Strakhova
——Anastasia Tikhonova $309Valeriya Strakhova $345
AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $457Over $179
AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $177Over $300
AFC Bournemouth leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $311Yes $14
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov
——Julio Cesar Porras $60Ivan Gakhov $238
Spread: FK Crvena zvezda (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Inter Club d'Escaldes
——Inter Club d'Escaldes $282FK Crvena zvezda $2
Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 1 - 3 AFC Bournemouth?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $245Yes $6
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Heat $108Warriors $130