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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | Multicoloured-Serf | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 48% (217–237, n=454) | 66% (877–458, n=1335) | 47% (14377–16003, n=30380) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | -$64K | $4.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #12 | PM monthly #22 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 62% (8 of 13 open) | 74% (26 of 35 open) | 52% (31 of 60 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 100% of 178 at avg 52¢, ROI +50% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 0% | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 47% (won 100% of 83) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 46% (won 100% of 82) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 7% (won 100% of 13) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | Multicoloured-Serf | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ducks vs. Canucks opposite sides · consensus Ducks | — | Canucks $9.2K | — | Ducks $614 |
| Portsmouth FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.8K | — | Over $670 |
| Buffalo vs. Miami (OH) same side · consensus Miami (OH) | — | Miami (OH) $60K | — | Miami (OH) $13K |
| Spread: Ohio (-13.5) same side · consensus Ohio | — | Akron $50K | — | Akron $900 |
| Oilers vs. Devils same side · consensus Devils | — | Devils $4.2K | — | Devils $689 |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $17 | — | Under $353 |