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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-177764853424143564uyrftyuuFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled marketno settled market53% (5928–5310, n=11238)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL——$3.3M$14.8M
Tracked as——PM monthly #17PM monthly #26 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position66% (313 of 471 open)62% (193 of 311 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won——56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢——29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢——16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢——17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up——38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

105 on the same side, 60 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-177764853424143564uyrftyuuFlaznorpRN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff
opposite sides · consensus Jan-Lennard Struff
——Jan-Lennard Struff $10KThiago Agustin Tirante $23K
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $22KUnder $423
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.5K
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 2 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.0KNo $13K
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 1 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.3KNo $8.8K
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils
——Arthur Fils $5.5KTomas Machac $2.3K
RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $7.6KNo $77
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $4.1KOver $3.1K
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 1 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $596No $5.3K
Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Stade Rennais FC 1901
——Stade Rennais FC 1901 $5.9KOlympiakós SFP $3
RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $4.8KUnder $107
Exact Score: RB Leipzig 3 - 2 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $64No $4.6K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.8KOver $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.4KOver $2.4K
PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.4KUnder $1.1K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $317No $2.6K
Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro
opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno
——Gonzalo Bueno $1.2KEduardo Ribeiro $1.5K
Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KOver $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $35
KV Kortrijk vs. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.5KUnder $22
Will Cardiff City FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $2.2KNo $234
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $1.1KYes $1.3K
FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $2.3KYes $35
Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $203Over $2.0K
Como 1907 leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $1.3KNo $734
Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.3KOver $638
Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $1.8KUnder $29
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 0 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $17No $1.7K
FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $1.7KUnder $6
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 2 - 3 Arsenal FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $36No $1.5K
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 2 - 2 Arsenal FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $39No $1.5K
Exact Score: RB Leipzig 1 - 0 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $19
KV Kortrijk vs. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $277Under $810
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $486No $529
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $713Over $268
KV Kortrijk vs. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $896Under $52
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $213No $677
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $607Yes $106
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
——Wizards $220Hawks $426
PSV leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $554Yes $88
Exact Score: FC Porto 1 - 1 SSC Napoli?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $329No $273
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
——Cavaliers $304Thunder $273
Exact Score: PSV 0 - 1 Club Brugge KV?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $499No $41
Will Cardiff City FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $190Yes $322
Exact Score: Wrexham AFC 0 - 1 Middlesbrough FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $371No $25
Costa do Sauipe: Lautaro Midon vs Tomas Barrios
opposite sides · consensus Tomas Barrios
——Tomas Barrios $127Lautaro Midon $260
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
——Pacers $215Grizzlies $118
Exact Score: Wrexham AFC 0 - 0 Middlesbrough FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $298Yes $5
Bristol City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $128Under $169