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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5016c48436AB3eFA2Ab54b117d0C08fa1a4a1eEB-1778328420816 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 60% (12–8, n=20) | no settled market | 67% (383–189, n=572) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $779K | — | -$126K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #671 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #6 | PM monthly #43 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 33% (6 of 18 open) | no open consensus position | 65% (94 of 144 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 8% (won 0% of 1) | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 8% (won 0% of 1) | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 69% (won 67% of 9) | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 15% (won 100% of 2) | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5016c48436AB3eFA2Ab54b117d0C08fa1a4a1eEB-1778328420816 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clippers vs. Suns opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | Clippers $2 | — | Suns $11K |
| Spread: Magic (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | — | Kings $3.5K | — | Magic $845 |
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | Clippers $2.0K | — | Suns $528 |
| Spread: Suns (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | Clippers $254 | — | Suns $476 |
| Spread: Magic (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | — | Kings $138 | — | Magic $186 |
| Spread: Clippers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | Clippers $43 | — | Suns $50 |
| Spread: Magic (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Kings $4.5K | — | Kings $528 |
| Spread: Magic (-4.5) same side · consensus Kings | — | Kings $406 | — | Kings $123 |