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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x4e25605fd905e9972efc0f4d8814530c655cd7a7 | ndb1 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (1040–738, n=1778) | 63% (1096–631, n=1727) | 50% (1248–1261, n=2509) | 48% (17938–19366, n=37304) |
| Consensus PnL | $287K | $4.6M | $3.6M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #876 | PM monthly #108 | PM monthly #46 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (177 of 220 open) | 74% (73 of 99 open) | 77% (10 of 13 open) | 66% (35 of 53 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports −8 pts, n=41 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 1502 at avg 58¢, ROI −1% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 33% (won 5% of 502) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 38% of 99) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 65% of 130) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 51% (won 96% of 771) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x4e25605fd905e9972efc0f4d8814530c655cd7a7 | ndb1 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.2K | No $24K | — | — |
| Buccaneers vs. Bears opposite sides · consensus Bears | — | — | Buccaneers $1.3K | Bears $16K |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.2K | Yes $1.7K | — | — |
| Spread: Bears (-16.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Buccaneers $9.0K | Buccaneers $7.6K |
| Spread: Bears (-17.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Buccaneers $12K | Buccaneers $2.0K |
| Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 58.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $13K | Over $772 |
| Spread: Bears (-2.5) same side · consensus Bears | — | — | Bears $3.5K | Bears $430 |
| Spread: Bears (-3.5) same side · consensus Bears | — | — | Buccaneers $14 | Buccaneers $112 |