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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x4a1a27c4af018a874e97e551410953cb29e70208Flaznorpjoseph00677keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)no settled market75% (730–246, n=976)no settled market45% (192–239, n=431)
Consensus PnL—$69K—$36K
Tracked as—PM monthly #14PM monthly #6PM monthly #43
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position63% (52 of 82 open)no open consensus position59% (10 of 17 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33%100% of 134 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢—34% (won 10% of 30)8% (won 0% of 1)5% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 30–50¢—19% (won 29% of 17)8% (won 0% of 1)38% (won 100% of 51)
Entries 50–70¢—13% (won 55% of 11)69% (won 67% of 9)50% (won 100% of 67)
Entries 70¢ and up—34% (won 83% of 30)15% (won 100% of 2)7% (won 100% of 9)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x4a1a27c4af018a874e97e551410953cb29e70208Flaznorpjoseph00677keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
South East Melbourne Phoenix vs. Illawarra Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Illawarra Hawks
—Illawarra Hawks $6.4K—South East Melbourne Phoenix $6.1K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
—Alexander Shevchenko $958—Casper Ruud $5.2K
WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
opposite sides · consensus Elina Svitolina
—Karolina Muchova $2.3K—Elina Svitolina $458
LG Sakers vs. Seoul Knights
opposite sides · consensus LG Sakers
—Seoul Knights $1.8K—LG Sakers $868
Hersonissos 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Johannus Monday
opposite sides · consensus Francesco Maestrelli
—Francesco Maestrelli $1.8K—Johannus Monday $409
W35 Heraklion: Denislava Glushkova vs Lucie Nguyen Tan
opposite sides · consensus Lucie Nguyen Tan
—Lucie Nguyen Tan $355—Denislava Glushkova $102
W35 Heraklion: Giulia Safina Popa vs Maria Golovina
opposite sides · consensus Giulia Safina Popa
—Giulia Safina Popa $288—Maria Golovina $102
W35 Heraklion: Elena Ruxandra Bertea vs Teodora Miron
same side · consensus Elena Ruxandra Bertea
—Elena Ruxandra Bertea $1.0K—Elena Ruxandra Bertea $379
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
same side · consensus MOUZ
—G2 $2—G2 $1.0K
W35 Heraklion: Giorgia Pedone vs Marianna Argyrokastriti
same side · consensus Marianna Argyrokastriti
—Marianna Argyrokastriti $79—Marianna Argyrokastriti $419
Victoria Women T20I: Uganda Women vs Rwanda Women
same side · consensus Rwanda Women
—Rwanda Women $16—Rwanda Women $49