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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | BreakTheBank | Cyclewin | HomeRunHazard | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (8–5, n=13) | 57% (28–21, n=49) | no settled market | 53% (307–269, n=576) |
| Consensus PnL | $624K | $758K | — | $308K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #36 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #972 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (3 of 5 open) | 52% (12 of 23 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (94 of 141 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| not computed yet |
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 8 at avg 51¢, ROI +49% | 100% of 31 at avg 52¢, ROI +46% | — | 100% of 164 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 0% | — | 1% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 38% (won 100% of 3) | 48% (won 100% of 15) | — | 30% (won 100% of 49) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 63% (won 100% of 5) | 45% (won 100% of 14) | — | 62% (won 100% of 101) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 6% (won 100% of 2) | — | 8% (won 100% of 13) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | BreakTheBank | Cyclewin | HomeRunHazard |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Giants (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Giants | — | Giants $380K | — | Commanders $2.6K |
| Spread: Pistons (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Wizards | Pistons $48K | — | — | Wizards $49K |
| Jets vs. Stars opposite sides · consensus Stars | Jets $31K | — | — | Stars $10K |
| Spread: Pistons (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | Pistons $12K | — | — | Wizards $2.0K |
| Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 40.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $5.5K | — | Under $6.8K |
| Sabres vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $5.3K | — | — | Under $4.3K |
| Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 44.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $9 | — | Under $3 |
| Spread: Suns (-6.5) same side · consensus Hornets | Hornets $186K | — | — | Hornets $1.8K |
| Spread: Giants (-3.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Giants $46K | — | Giants $612 |
| Spread: 76ers (-5.5) same side · consensus Raptors | — | Raptors $230 | — | Raptors $21 |