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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465keeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1User1244322
Record (consensus markets)49% (38–40, n=78)42% (124–169, n=293)68% (313–146, n=459)no settled market
Consensus PnL-$384K$172K-$105K—
Tracked asPM monthly #39PM monthly #35PM monthly #37 + pinnedwas PM monthly #892
Sides with the consensus46% (6 of 13 open)73% (27 of 37 open)64% (27 of 42 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=21———
Settled positions, side won63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%—
Entries under 30¢15% (won 11% of 287)6% (won 100% of 9)1% (won 100% of 3)—
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 50% of 452)42% (won 100% of 63)26% (won 100% of 62)—
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 68% of 546)40% (won 100% of 61)40% (won 100% of 95)—
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 93% of 588)12% (won 100% of 18)33% (won 100% of 80)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465keeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1User1244322
Lima: Marco Cecchinato vs Francisco Comesana
opposite sides · consensus Marco Cecchinato
Francisco Comesana $91KMarco Cecchinato $89KMarco Cecchinato $43K—
Spread: Heat (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Heat $52KJazz $17K——
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $19KUnder $742——
Knoxville: Aidan Mayo vs Michael Mmoh
opposite sides · consensus Michael Mmoh
—Michael Mmoh $13KAidan Mayo $38—
W50 Chihuahua: Anastasia Tikhonova vs Miriana Tona
opposite sides · consensus Anastasia Tikhonova
—Anastasia Tikhonova $497Miriana Tona $232—
Monastir: Dali Blanch vs Marko Topo
opposite sides · consensus Dali Blanch
Dali Blanch $37Marko Topo $375——
WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Jessica Pegula
Jessica Pegula $3.5KJessica Pegula $16K——
Lima: Elmer Moeller vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
same side · consensus Elmer Moeller
Elmer Moeller $3.9KElmer Moeller $12K——
Knoxville: Ozan Baris vs Oliver Tarvet
same side · consensus Oliver Tarvet
—Oliver Tarvet $4.8KOliver Tarvet $985—
Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5)
same side · consensus Kent State
Kent State $192Kent State $1.2K——
Orleans: Hugo Grenier vs Kyrian Jacquet
same side · consensus Kyrian Jacquet
Hugo Grenier $38—Hugo Grenier $128—
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $4—Under $18—