← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | fantasy7788 | JamesAltucher | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (41–47, n=88) | 100% (2–0, n=2) | no settled market | 67% (354–171, n=525) |
| Consensus PnL | -$411K | $245K | — | -$102K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #82 | was PM monthly #531 | PM monthly #43 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (14 of 24 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 55% (56 of 101 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | not computed yet |
|
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 2 at avg 51¢, ROI +50% | — | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 0% | — | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | — | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | — | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 0% | — | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | fantasy7788 | JamesAltucher | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Knicks (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | Bucks $18K | — | — | Knicks $322 |
| Bucks vs. Knicks opposite sides · consensus Knicks | Bucks $8.5K | — | — | Knicks $4.0K |
| Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $6.2K | — | — | Under $722 |
| Spread: Celtics (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | 76ers $2 | — | — | Celtics $988 |
| Spread: Knicks (-14.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Bucks $37K | — | — | Bucks $169 |
| Celtics vs. 76ers same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $25K | — | — | Celtics $9.2K |
| Knoxville: Marcos Giron vs Maks Kasnikowski same side · consensus Marcos Giron | Marcos Giron $13K | — | — | Marcos Giron $13K |
| Spread: Celtics (-2.5) same side · consensus Celtics | 76ers $3.3K | — | — | 76ers $185 |
| Ohio vs. Miami (OH) same side · consensus Miami (OH) | Miami (OH) $70 | — | — | Miami (OH) $386 |