← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | fantasy7788 | Flaznorp | PropheticFire | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (43–56, n=99) | 100% (2–0, n=2) | 75% (633–207, n=840) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$536K | $245K | $24K | $0 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #83 | PM monthly #14 | was PM monthly #999 |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (8 of 15 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 62% (113 of 183 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled | not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 2 at avg 51¢, ROI +50% | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 0% | 34% (won 10% of 30) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 19% (won 29% of 17) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 13% (won 55% of 11) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 0% | 34% (won 83% of 30) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | fantasy7788 | Flaznorp | PropheticFire |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Heat (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Heat $98K | — | Jazz $2.5K | — |
| Magic vs. Kings opposite sides · consensus Magic | — | Kings $5.3K | Magic $6.3K | — |
| Spread: Magic (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $11K | — | Magic $363 | — |
| Spread: Magic (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $4.8K | — | Magic $785 | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | Thunder $1.3K | — | Trail Blazers $3.4K | — |
| Spread: Heat (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Jazz $15 | — | Heat $3.4K | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $332 | — | Thunder $227 | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz same side · consensus Heat | Heat $85K | — | Heat $19K | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 218.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $22K | — | Under $203 | — |