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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | duratio12 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4487–3372, n=7859) | 51% (30–29, n=59) | 53% (5952–5311, n=11263) | 65% (892–472, n=1364) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $13K | $3.3M | $4.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #90 | PM monthly #867 | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #97 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (19 of 27 open) | no open consensus position | 68% (222 of 327 open) | 78% (39 of 50 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 89% of 61 at avg 55¢, ROI +5% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 15% (won 78% of 9) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 30% (won 78% of 18) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 31% (won 95% of 19) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 25% (won 100% of 15) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
11 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | duratio12 | Flaznorp | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76ers vs. Pistons opposite sides · consensus Pistons | Pistons $19K | — | 76ers $6.4K | — |
| Hornets vs. Nets opposite sides · consensus Hornets | Nets $429 | — | Hornets $3.3K | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | Knicks $3.0K | — | Bulls $156 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | Pacers $2.0K | — | Grizzlies $693 | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | Pistons $399 | — | 76ers $891 | — |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | Central Michigan $902 | — | Eastern Michigan $60 | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) same side · consensus Thunder | Thunder $108K | — | Thunder $3.2K | — |
| Raptors vs. Nuggets same side · consensus Nuggets | Nuggets $73K | — | Nuggets $2.6K | — |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State same side · consensus Toledo | Sacramento State $20K | — | Sacramento State $215 | — |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $15K | — | Over $4.1K | — |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns same side · consensus Trail Blazers | Suns $14K | — | Suns $2.4K | — |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs same side · consensus Spurs | Spurs $9.3K | — | Spurs $51 | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $6.6K | — | Raptors $379 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Pacers $6 | — | Pacers $2.9K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-12.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $1.3K | — | Celtics $1.3K | — |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $283 | — | Under $2.1K | — |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets same side · consensus Timberwolves | Timberwolves $156 | — | Timberwolves $7 | — |