Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4morito181RN1
Record (consensus markets)57% (4474–3357, n=7831)no settled market69% (533–242, n=775)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$8.9M—$1.1M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #133—PM monthly #107 + pinnedPM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus59% (13 of 22 open)no open consensus position82% (150 of 184 open)62% (133 of 216 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Mentions −13 pts, n=20—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%—71% of 918 at avg 70¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)—22% (won 6% of 202)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)—5% (won 43% of 49)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)—6% (won 53% of 55)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)—67% (won 96% of 612)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4morito181RN1
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $365——Under $889
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $49K—Yes $1.9K—
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
same side · consensus Central Michigan
Central Michigan $486——Central Michigan $11K
Spread: Central Michigan (-3.5)
same side · consensus Central Michigan
Central Michigan $11K——Central Michigan $476
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $6.9K——Raptors $278
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $2.3K——No $1.5K
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $248——Under $382
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
No $202—No $188—
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $194——Over $28