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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4ch27erFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)57% (4487–3372, n=7859)no settled market60% (24–16, n=40)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)
Consensus PnL$8.9M—$123K$3.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #90—PM monthly #227PM monthly #22
Sides with the consensus70% (19 of 27 open)no open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)68% (222 of 325 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
not computed yet
  • NBA +46 pts n=15, ROI +43%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%—96% of 24 at avg 56¢, ROI +42%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)—0%29% (won 11% of 423)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)—13% (won 100% of 3)16% (won 40% of 243)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)—88% (won 95% of 21)17% (won 62% of 255)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)—0%38% (won 94% of 561)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4ch27erFlaznorp
Trail Blazers vs. Suns
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Suns $16K—Trail Blazers $23KSuns $2.4K
Hornets vs. Nets
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Nets $429——Hornets $3.3K
Spread: Knicks (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Knicks $3.0K——Bulls $156
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Pacers $2.0K——Grizzlies $693
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Pistons $399——76ers $891
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
Central Michigan $902——Eastern Michigan $60
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
same side · consensus Thunder
Thunder $108K——Thunder $3.2K
Raptors vs. Nuggets
same side · consensus Nuggets
Nuggets $73K——Nuggets $2.6K
76ers vs. Pistons
same side · consensus Pistons
——76ers $45K76ers $7.5K
Toledo vs. Sacramento State
same side · consensus Toledo
Sacramento State $20K——Sacramento State $215
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $15K——Over $4.1K
Mavericks vs. Spurs
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $9.3K——Spurs $51
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $6.6K——Raptors $379
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Pacers $6——Pacers $2.9K
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $1.3K——Celtics $1.3K
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $283——Under $2.1K
Timberwolves vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Timberwolves
Timberwolves $156——Timberwolves $7